2020-08-13 • Updated
AUD approaches the strong resistance at 0.7185. What may happen next?
Today Australia reported that 114 700 its citizens found jobs in July. That numbers beat all estimates, as analysts anticipated only 30 000. Analysts may set such a low forecast because Australia was suffering from the fresh virus resurgence, especially its state Victoria. Australian unemployment rate exceeded expectations too: 7.5% vs predicted 7.8%.
As a result, the Australian dollar surged. Moreover, vaccine hopes and decreasing new virus cases improved the market sentiment and underpinned the risky aussie. Do you know that Australia is the second largest producer of gold after China? Last year Australia produced the record amount of yellow metal. Therefore, if the USD gets weaker and the gold price rises further, the AUD may become the best performer on the Forex market.
On the 4-hour chart we can see that AUD/USD bounced off the support line a 0.7115. It has broken out through the resistance at 0.7145 and two moving averages. The move above the high of August 11 at 0.7185 will drive the price to the high of August 7 at 0.7215. On the flip side, if it breaks down 0.7145, it may fall further to the support line at 0.7115.
Follow the speech of the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia at 2.30 MT time on Friday! If the RBA’s tone is hawkish, the AUD will rise. Otherwise, if the RBA’s tone is dovish, the AUD will fall.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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