2020-08-21 • Updated
The British pound outperformed the euro and the US dollar after the better-than-expected PMI. However, Brexit deadlock pushed the GBP down.
Firstly, the British PMI exceeded all expectations. It turned out 55.3 for Manufacturing PMI and 60.1 for Services. Moreover, earlier the EU PMI came out worse than anticipated: Manufacturing PMI – 51.7 and Services PMI – 50.1 vs expected 52.7 and 54.6, respectively. Positive British and negative European economic indicators led to an enormous drop of EUR/GBP. However, things have changed after the EU and the UK couldn’t reach the agreement over some Brexit issues, especially fisheries and other irreconcilable differences. The EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier claimed that “an agreement seems unlikely” and was “disappointed, concerned and surprised”. It seems that both sides are far away from reaching a deal. Therefore, it will definitely require more time to make a deal now.
The further prolongation of the Brexit deal will weigh more on the British pound. Weeks of uncertainties ahead may drive the GBP lower and lower. Negotiators set the next meeting for October 2. However, most analysts are questioning the possibility of a positive outcome. Perhaps the situation won’t get better without governments’ intervention, and it will take more time than it was initially expected.
EUR/GBP has just reversed from the support of 0.8950. Obviously, most analysts have bearish scenarios for the British pound after totally unsuccessful Brexit talks. If the pair jumps above the high of August 12 of 0.9000, it will rise to the next resistance of 0.9050. In the opposite scenario, if it falls down to 0.8950, the way to the next support of 0.8910 will be open. Follow further news on the GBP!
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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