Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
S&P 500 is about to fall
2020-04-22 • Updated
Most analysts believe S&P 500 is overbought and it will have a correction soon. What is the reason?
There is no secret that many large US companies have a tough time now amid the coronavirus pandemic. Goldman predicts a 15% EPS decline in the first quarter for S&P 500. That would be the largest drop in earnings reported by the index since 2009, when the decline was 15.7%.
Moreover, according to the Morgan Stanley, earnings will decrease by 20% this year. The guidance from corporations may show that the virus damage was devastating and it takes a long time to rebound. The business loan demand increased by 17.3% the previous week, what generally indicates the beginning of the recession. While major economies around the world take tentative steps toward reopening, it’s still to early to talk about their recovery.
Let’s have a look at the S&P 500 chart below. The price was declining from February 20 to March 23, then it reversed and went upward. Few days ago it reached the 50-day moving average and had a short correction down. So, it might continue increasing only if it breaks through the 50-day moving average. However, most analysts anticipate the upcoming falling down.
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
The energy industry has undergone several major changes in the XXI that are becoming increasingly apparent…
Bullish Scenario: Buys above 17910 with TP:18098.07, TP2:18277, and TP3: 18415 Bearish Scenario: Sells below 17850 with TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
During his program on CNBC on February 28, Jim Cramer expressed frustration with the impact of earnings reports on market behavior, noting how they often prompt rash decisions by average investors. He criticized the short-term focus and lack of attention to nuance in news coverage of earnings. Cramer cited examples of Home Depot and Lowe's, highlighting how investors reacted hastily to headline news without considering the broader context provided in earnings calls.
After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...