S&P & Brent: Two Brothers Will Keep Rallying

S&P & Brent: Two Brothers Will Keep Rallying

2022-12-15 • Updated

Why brothers?

If you put an oil chart on the S&P500 chart, you will find out that these assets have a strong correlation.   

Screenshot_10.png

This happens as oil growth is usually caused by an increasing demand, which gets provoked by high economic activity. The current situation does not look similar as an extreme Brent price growth was caused by supply chain problems and nature cataclysms. However, it seems that the global rally is not over, and markets are on the wedge of another growth wave in November.

Why so positive?

Brent (XBR/USD) monthly chart

Screenshot_11.png

Brent looks extremely bullish on the global chart. And when if not now the pump should finally happen? The macroeconomic situation is conducive to the continuation of the trend, as as the demand for oil will constantly grow during the global economic recovery from the pandemic.

On the monthly chart, Brent is now breaking through the falling wedge. We expect that the trend will continue as September’s candle looks significant. Moreover, you can see that bullish divergence occurred with the RSI chart.

S&P500 (US500)                 

The current correction on the stock market was caused by the risks of a key rate increase. An increase in rates can negatively affect the growth of quotations, but no one has a clue when the rates are going to be finally increased. According to the latest information it might happen in 2022, but no exact dates were announced.

Moreover, the current correction is accompanied by large-scale buybacks from companies, which buy their stocks. And it looks crazy to buy stocks at the very top of their price, right?

Lately in 2021 S&P500 FAANG companies were the main driver of the US main index. According to FBS's Facebook stock analysis, we are ahead of the 5th wave of market growth in 2021. It can happen during the New Year Rally. In the last year, S&P500 gained 11% in November and 4% in December. As we have mentioned before in our historical US market analysis, November and December are the most successful months for the US500 index.

Technical analyses

XBR/USD, daily chart

XBRUSDDaily.png

XBR/USD came to the overbought zone according to the RSI. It got down from $80 resistance level lately. The price needs to confirm the previous local high breakout, that’s why I expect a $77.3 level retest. If the price breaks through this level, the next support will be at $75.

After the retest, the rally will continue with the target at $85.

US500, daily chart

US500Daily.png

The second wave of this correction began, and according to the wave theory, it should be the same size as the first one. In this case, the target for US500 is 4250.

In long term, the target for US500 is 5300.

You can trade the US500 index with FBS. Also, a great option is to trade FAANG stocks, which usually overperform the main US index.

TRADE NOW

Similar

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Reach Record Highs
Nasdaq, S&P 500 Reach Record Highs

After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera