The month of February saw markets make several instinctive moves as well as create opportunities for proper leveraging of fundamental releases. Despite being a leap-year, there wasn’t any real impact on price delivery in the course of the month. As we await the opportunities that lie ahead in the month of March, here are a few thoughts to consider.
USD/CNY is driven by trade uncertainty
2019-11-11 • Updated
BUY 6.9220; TP1 6.9570; TP2 6.9795; SL 6.90
SELL 6.8860; TP 6.8615; SL 6.8940
USD/CNY retraced 78.6% of the 2018-2019 decline. The US dollar strengthened versus the Chinese yuan as the trade deal between the United States and China met unexpected obstacles.
To put it briefly, America increased tariffs on Chinese imports and China decided to retaliate. In addition, China’s industrial production figures and retail sales for April turned out to be worse than expected. This might mean that Beijing may need to roll out more stimulus measures to support its economy. Comments of the US President Donald Trump that trade talks hadn’t collapsed improved the sentiment a bit, but the uncertainty remains. That means that the USD has more bullish potential versus the CNY.
The outlook for USD/CNY will remain bullish as long as it stays above 6.8250 (200-day MA, weekly pivot). On H4, the pair is consolidating within a symmetric triangle. The direction of a break will determine whether the move to the upside continues straight away or we see a correction.
USD/CHF saw a rebound after declining for two days straight, climbing towards the important psychological level of 0.8800 during Wednesday's early Asian trading session. There's some pressure on the Swiss Franc (CHF) as traders await the Swiss ZEW Survey – Expectations report scheduled for later today. Moreover, investors are keeping...
In the early hours of Tuesday, the US Dollar faces challenges in maintaining its strength against major currencies, with the US Dollar Index struggling to surpass the 104.00 mark. Investors are eagerly anticipating the release of key economic data, including January Durable Goods Orders and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for February. Additionally, the economic calendar includes reports...
Bullish Scenario: Buys above 17910 with TP:18098.07, TP2:18277, and TP3: 18415 Bearish Scenario: Sells below 17850 with TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
During his program on CNBC on February 28, Jim Cramer expressed frustration with the impact of earnings reports on market behavior, noting how they often prompt rash decisions by average investors. He criticized the short-term focus and lack of attention to nuance in news coverage of earnings. Cramer cited examples of Home Depot and Lowe's, highlighting how investors reacted hastily to headline news without considering the broader context provided in earnings calls.
After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...