Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.
XAU/USD: levels to trade
2019-12-06 • Updated
SELL 1,471; TP 1,466; SL 1,473
BUY 1,478; TP1 1,481.50; TP2 1,487; SL 1,477.50
XAU/USD ran into the resistance of the 50-day MA in the 1,481.65 area. The further obstacle on the upside is at 1,487.00 (the 100-day MA, the downtrend line connecting September and November highs).
On the H4, the price is below the 200-period MA at 1,477.25 – the nearest resistance. The decline below the recent lows at 1,471 will open the way down to 1,466 (100-period MA on the H4). Notice that gold is trading within a medium-term downtrend, so selling is much more favorable than buying. Still, there’s some space until the price hits resistance line, so cautious longs are possible above 1,478 targeting 1,481.50 and then, if there’s a daily close above this point, 1,487.
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Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.